Tuesday, May 24, 2011

I Don't See Value - Do You?

This chart makes the claim that stocks are a compelling value at this level. Yes some are. However, they seem reasonably priced from where I sit. They get really cheap the closer they get to the bottom green line. We are not even close. (damon)


Source: http://www.chartoftheday.com/


Today's chart illustrates how the recent rise in earnings has impacted the current valuation of the stock market as measured by the price to earnings ratio (PE ratio). Generally speaking, when the PE ratio is high, stocks are considered to be expensive. When the PE ratio is low, stocks are considered to be inexpensive. From 1900 into the mid-1990s, the PE ratio tended to peak in the low to mid-20s (red line) and trough somewhere around seven (green line). The price investors were willing to pay for a dollar of earnings increased during the dot-com boom (late 1990s), surged even higher during the dot-com bust (early 2000s), and spiked to extraordinary levels during the financial crisis (late 2000s). As a result of the recent surge in corporate earnings, the PE ratio has dropped to a level that has rarely existed over the past two decades.

The content contained in this blog represents the opinions of Damon Coley, Nathan Aberson, and/or Aaron Aberson. Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson also act as advisors and clients advised by Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson may hold either long or short positions in securities of various companies discussed in the blog based upon Mr. Coley’s, Mr. Nathan Aberson’s, and Mr. Aaron Aberson’s recommendations. This commentary in no way constitutes investment advice, and should never be relied on in making an investment decision, ever. Also, this blog is not a solicitation of business by Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson: all inquiries will be ignored. The content herein is intended solely for the entertainment of the reader, and the authors.

Thursday, May 19, 2011

The Invisible Stock Market Bubble

I hope you have a plan....(damon)

The Invisible Stock Market Bubble(click to read)


The content contained in this blog represents the opinions of Damon Coley, Nathan Aberson, and/or Aaron Aberson. Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson also act as advisors and clients advised by Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson may hold either long or short positions in securities of various companies discussed in the blog based upon Mr. Coley’s, Mr. Nathan Aberson’s, and Mr. Aaron Aberson’s recommendations. This commentary in no way constitutes investment advice, and should never be relied on in making an investment decision, ever. Also, this blog is not a solicitation of business by Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson: all inquiries will be ignored. The content herein is intended solely for the entertainment of the reader, and the authors.

Tuesday, May 10, 2011

Mississippi Flooding Threatens Shipping as Barges Halted

As my Mom says, "you learn something new everyday". This is a good piece on the Mississippi River and Commerce. (damon)



The content contained in this blog represents the opinions of Damon Coley, Nathan Aberson, and/or Aaron Aberson. Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson also act as advisors and clients advised by Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson may hold either long or short positions in securities of various companies discussed in the blog based upon Mr. Coley’s, Mr. Nathan Aberson’s, and Mr. Aaron Aberson’s recommendations. This commentary in no way constitutes investment advice, and should never be relied on in making an investment decision, ever. Also, this blog is not a solicitation of business by Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson: all inquiries will be ignored. The content herein is intended solely for the entertainment of the reader, and the authors.

Friday, May 6, 2011

Where Are The Jobs?

Today, the Labor Department reported that nonfarm payrolls (jobs) increased in April for an eighth consecutive monthly gain. Today's chart provides some perspective on the US job market. Note how the number of jobs steadily increased from 1961 to 2001 (top chart). During the last economic recovery (i.e. the end of 2001 to the end of 2007), job growth was unable to get back up to its long-term trend (first time since 1961). More recently, nonfarm payrolls have pulled away from its 40-year trend (1961-2001) by a record percentage (bottom chart). In fact, the current number of US jobs was first reached in early 2000. Very Sobering....(Damon)


The content contained in this blog represents the opinions of Damon Coley, Nathan Aberson, and/or Aaron Aberson. Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson also act as advisors and clients advised by Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson may hold either long or short positions in securities of various companies discussed in the blog based upon Mr. Coley’s, Mr. Nathan Aberson’s, and Mr. Aaron Aberson’s recommendations. This commentary in no way constitutes investment advice, and should never be relied on in making an investment decision, ever. Also, this blog is not a solicitation of business by Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson: all inquiries will be ignored. The content herein is intended solely for the entertainment of the reader, and the authors.

Tuesday, May 3, 2011

Boston Properties' Zuckerman Interview

It seems simple when proposed by a serious and articulate person. None of that is coming out of Washington. The clock is ticking. The debt issue is very troubling. This is a very good inteview with Mort Zuckerman. Damon....



Mortimer Zuckerman, chief executive officer of Boston Properties Inc., discusses the impact of the federal budget deficit on the U.S. economy and investment strategy. Zuckerman, speaking with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television's "In the Loop," also discusses the death of al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden in a U.S. raid May 1. (Source: Bloomberg)

The content contained in this blog represents the opinions of Damon Coley, Nathan Aberson, and/or Aaron Aberson. Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson also act as advisors and clients advised by Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson may hold either long or short positions in securities of various companies discussed in the blog based upon Mr. Coley’s, Mr. Nathan Aberson’s, and Mr. Aaron Aberson’s recommendations. This commentary in no way constitutes investment advice, and should never be relied on in making an investment decision, ever. Also, this blog is not a solicitation of business by Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson: all inquiries will be ignored. The content herein is intended solely for the entertainment of the reader, and the authors.