Tuesday, May 24, 2011

I Don't See Value - Do You?

This chart makes the claim that stocks are a compelling value at this level. Yes some are. However, they seem reasonably priced from where I sit. They get really cheap the closer they get to the bottom green line. We are not even close. (damon)


Source: http://www.chartoftheday.com/


Today's chart illustrates how the recent rise in earnings has impacted the current valuation of the stock market as measured by the price to earnings ratio (PE ratio). Generally speaking, when the PE ratio is high, stocks are considered to be expensive. When the PE ratio is low, stocks are considered to be inexpensive. From 1900 into the mid-1990s, the PE ratio tended to peak in the low to mid-20s (red line) and trough somewhere around seven (green line). The price investors were willing to pay for a dollar of earnings increased during the dot-com boom (late 1990s), surged even higher during the dot-com bust (early 2000s), and spiked to extraordinary levels during the financial crisis (late 2000s). As a result of the recent surge in corporate earnings, the PE ratio has dropped to a level that has rarely existed over the past two decades.

The content contained in this blog represents the opinions of Damon Coley, Nathan Aberson, and/or Aaron Aberson. Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson also act as advisors and clients advised by Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson may hold either long or short positions in securities of various companies discussed in the blog based upon Mr. Coley’s, Mr. Nathan Aberson’s, and Mr. Aaron Aberson’s recommendations. This commentary in no way constitutes investment advice, and should never be relied on in making an investment decision, ever. Also, this blog is not a solicitation of business by Mr. Coley, Mr. Nathan Aberson, and Mr. Aaron Aberson: all inquiries will be ignored. The content herein is intended solely for the entertainment of the reader, and the authors.

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